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Fruits & Votes is the Web-log of Matthew S. Shugart ("MSS"), Professor of Political Science, University of California, Davis.

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  • 30 August 2007

    Planted by MSS
    Planted in: The Ballyard

    As August turns to September, this will be one of three plantings on my favorite topics–baseball, fruits, and votes.

    Updated below

    I don’t think there has been a better end to August around baseball in many years. We had several series to end the month with big implications for the races that are about to enter their final month.

    Was that a statement the Angels made, or what? This is not over by any means, but when you interrupt a tough run of road games for three at home against the team ahead of you, could take the division lead with a sweep–and then get swept–it’s some setback. The Angels just out-classed the Mariners in every aspect of the game for three straight and now lead the division by five games.

    Earlier today I tuned in just in time to see (ex-Phillie) Billy Wagner blow a chance for his first two-inning save of the millennium, capping off a wild 11-10 game. The Phillies completed a four-game sweep at home of the division-leading Mets, and are now only two games out.

    Tonight the Padres go for a four-game sweep of Arizona, and if they pull it off, they will claim a one-game lead in their division.

    The Brewers can’t reclaim their lead over the Cubs in tonight’s game, but they can win the series and thereby get back within 1/2 game–and move over .500. For the second year in a row, the NL Central “race” is pathetic.

    Let’s see, did I leave anything out? Not really. Well, there was the Yankees completing a three-game sweep of the Red Sox. Yaaaaawwwwn. The Red Sox lead of five games still looks safe. However, with their sweep and the Mariners’ sinking, the Yankees did pass the Mariners for the wild card lead.

    Update

    More great games among the contenders later in the day on 30 August!

    The Diamondbacks escaped San Diego with their division lead intact, almost blowing an 8-0 lead in the seventh. Instead, it was just another one-run lead, keeping their Snake Highs season going. Look out, San Diego, here come the Dodgers and Boomer!

    The Mariners slipped into second place in the AL Wild Card race with their sixth straight loss. This was one of their many would-be off days given up to making up that snow-out from the first week of the season. The Indians beat them on a walk-off walk. The Mariners are reeling, but they have an early September wild-card showdown with the now-leading Yankees starting Monday.

    And the Brewers slipped back below .500, losing the final game of their series with the Cubs, who now have a 2.5 game lead for the race to be the least mediocre team in the NL Central.

    Now, please raise your hand if you thought the Angels would go into the final game of August with the largest lead of any of the six divisions.1 And now please raise your hand if you thought the Indians would enter September leading their division.

    September is going to be fun!

    1. And only 1/2 game off the pace for league’s best record. []

    Propagation: Seeds & scions (1)


    1 idea sprouting »

    1. Yeah us Mariners fans were loving this past week…

      Seed planted by Chris B — 31 August 2007 @ 19:53

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    Recent comments.

  • Is MMP in Ireland’s future? (21)
    • Tom Round: MSS @19: I’d semi-agree that party-list legislators are still “elected& #8221; (at least when the lists are published in...
    • Derek: Actually, the proposal I’m considering is a system where all candidates must run for many district seats and the number of seats...
    • MSS: I would completely reject Ed’s notion that members elected on party lists (closed) are “appointe d” instead of elected....
    • MSS: Interesting on attitudes towards STV variants, Tom! As for Hungary, it is not, and never was, MMP. But the system was indeed adopted before...
    • JD: How about the following MMP variant: both constituency and party-list votes are ranked. The constituency contest happens under AV. The...
    • Tom Round: (MSS @9) “To be clear, no specific legal threshold, or any threshold at all, is a defining feature of MMP” True. However,...
    • Mark Roth: @ JD, I stand corrected. @Derek, I believe that someone proposed something similarish for Canada right after the last federal election....
    • Derek: I’ve always thought of a different type of MMP system. The % for the winning party determines the number of seats chosen proportiona...
    • Suaprazzodi: Will Ireland embrace a one vote or two vote MMP system? Will it use FPTP in conjunction with a closed party list corrective element...
    • JD: Mark: If I’m not mistaken, neither Bolivia nor Lesotho (both MMP users) have thresholds.
    • Ed: I had a somewhat similar intellectual journey to Tom Round, in that MMP was beguiling at first until you got into the details. For me the deal...
    • Mark Roth: Just to be argumentative,a nd with no offense meant: 1) As far as I know, every system that uses MMP does have some sort of threshold in...
    • MSS: To be clear, no specific legal threshold, or any threshold at all, is a defining feature of MMP. Technically, neither are single-seat...
  • Pakistan general election 2013 (2)
    • MSS: The bandwagoning is taking place now. “PML-N gets majority after 18 Independents join party” (20 May). “43 newly elected...
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