THE CORE

Fruits & Votes is the Web-log of Matthew S. Shugart ("MSS"), Professor of Political Science, University of California, Davis.

Perspectives on electoral systems, constitutional design, and policy around the world, based primarily on my research interests.

Also experiences with growing many varieties of fruit (always organic) and other personal interests. Please see the Mission Statement for more. (There is also an explanation of the banner.)

Other "planters" have been invited to contribute. Please check the "Planted by" line to see the author of the post you are reading.

Join the conversation. Comments are always open. Except, that is, when Word Press mysteriously shuts them down, which happens with distressing frequency.

Core principles:

Henry Droop on the "moderate non-partisan section"

Madison on "dangers from abroad" and "the fetters... on liberty"

The Head Orchardist's other sites:

PRESERVED FRUIT
orchard blocks
  • All
  • FRUITS
  • VOTES
  • wide open spaces
  • 05 February 2008

    Planted by MSS
    Planted in: 2008; Presidential primaries & caucuses; USA; VOTES

    I suppose it comes as no surprise, but I love elections. And voting. Oh, of course, I can only dream of being able to vote sincerely for someone who reflects my political views and have that vote affect the overall balance of forces in the policy-making process. I sometimes say I vote as if I were Dutch or Israeli–or pick your country with national proportional representation and a low threshold–because I really do not believe in lesser-of-evils voting. It is my one chance to express my hopes and dreams for my country or state, as an equal citizen, as the democratic ideal requires. And if those views are shared by only 2 or 3 percent of my fellow citizens, so be it.

    I have voted since 1978, but I have never been so excited–yes, excited–about the act of voting as I am about the vote I am about to go cast. We should have a nationwide primary. We don’t, but this is as close as we ever have had to one. And elections should be real contests, because competition improves politics and policy as surely as it spurs innovation in business. And competition we have!

    I regret that this primary has been winnowed to two candidates in the Democratic field. I had almost decided to vote for John Edwards on the grounds that 15% of the statewide delegates would be a useful voice for the relatively progressive and political-reformist message that he, alone among delegate contenders, was offering. I regret that he is gone from the contest, even though he had no realistic shot at the nomination. I regret that competition for delegates is not enough for someone to stay in. And I regret that the field is so winnowed by a few mostly small1 subnational electorates before most of the national electorate has even had a chance to vote.

    By all of the above, I should be unhappy and frustrated. There were eight candidates at the start, and while my sincere first choice is still as much in the race as he ever was, his vote percentage is one that gets reported as zero by a news media not versed in the art of the decimal point.2 The two remaining competitive candidates were my fifth and eighth choices within the Democratic field.

    Yet I am excited. I am about to go cast a vote that I feel is both sincere and will count. It is sincere not on policy positioning. I am about to go vote for a candidate who is well to the right of me, and whose only expressed political-reform idea (pretty much my top issue) is to open House-Senate conference committees to the public.3 It is sincere on “presidentialist” grounds; that is, on the grounds that what matters most in a presidential system is how the prospective candidate will use the office–especially its vast persuasive potential at home and abroad–not what his or her policy and reform ideas are.4 And, while I have actually tried to resist the emotion of this candidate’s campaign, I admit it: Even this jaded electoral studies professional has caught the bug.5

    The vote counts, even though my district is one of those even-magnitude districts sure to split 2-2 regardless of the vote margin–because there are 81 delegates in my state apportioned by the statewide vote. Every 1.23% by which my candidate closes in on–or surpasses?–the candidate who has led most polls in the state will amount to an additional delegate. That’s “counting,” and in a very close national race, in a way in which few votes I have ever cast in my life have counted. And that is exciting.

    Now pardon me while I go vote. For a presidential candidate younger than I.6

    The above is not an endorsement. F&V does not endorse candidates, after all.
    _________

    1. Florida and Michigan have voted, but in its infinite wisdom the “Democratic” Party managed to turn those primaries into sideshows. Of course, I would prefer that they–and all states–were voting today, anyway. []
    2. Not that 0.4% looks that much better!! []
    3. An important, but small step. []
    4. For more on this theme, see this comment of mine (and several others by me and others in the thread), and my initial planting on this candidate. []
    5. As one of my colleagues put it, what is wrong with voting on emotion, anyway? []
    6. Something that dawned on me just the other morning! []

    Propagation: Seeds & scions (6)


    Fruits and Votes grafted California primary date: Would it have mattered?
    Fruits and Votes grafted John Edwards >> Barack Obama
    Jacob Christensen grafted Super Tuesday
    PoliBlog grafted Odes to Voting

    6 ideas sprouting »

    1. This nameless candidate is one day older than me…..

      Seed planted by Jack Lazorko — 05 February 2008 @ 21:28

    2. Odes to Voting

      Two of my friends, Alan Cross and Matthew Shugart, men in different states and with different political points of view, both wax poetic on voting.

      Elections are, indeed, wondrous things.

      Scion grafted by PoliBlog — 06 February 2008 @ 01:19

    3. Super Tuesday

      Among the US bloggers I follow, Daniel Drezner went for … tadaa! … John McCain while Brad deLong voted Obama. My hunch is that Paul Krugman backed Hillary Clinton (I have this feeling that he’s not an Obamaman). Laura McKenna, on the other hand, confesses that she is an Obama-girl.

      Scion grafted by Jacob Christensen — 06 February 2008 @ 02:09

    4. The Prime Minister of Sweden is younger than I am. I ought to feel old – but then, back in 2005 Danish media were seriously discussing Mette Frederiksen as the next chairman of the Social Democrats.

      She was 29 at the time…

      In most of the Nordic countries, a party leader closing in on 60 would be considered too old to be a realistic candidate for the Prime Minister’s office.

      Seed planted by Jacob Christensen — 06 February 2008 @ 02:12

    5. John Edwards >> Barack Obama

      While the Democratic Party does have proportional representation in its nominating process–and good for it!–even better would be ranked-choice voting in a national primary.

      The next best thing to being able to mark your transferable ballot as Edwards >> Obama would be to donate via the John Edwards page of the Obama campaign website. This is brilliant.

      Scion grafted by Fruits and Votes — 15 May 2008 @ 21:00

    6. California primary date: Would it have mattered?

      What if California had kept its usual June primary for presidential nominating delegates?

      Scion grafted by Fruits and Votes — 03 June 2008 @ 16:05

    RSS feed for comments on this post.

    TrackBacks

    To graft a scion to this planting, please use the following URL:
    http://fruitsandvotes.com/blog/wp-trackback.php?p=1546
    (Non-MT bloggers click here to send pings.)

    Grafted scions that are not compatible with this planting's stock will die or be pruned out by the Orchardist.

    About the comment form

    Please note that the name you enter below and the first several words of your comment will appear on the right sidebar of the blog's front page, under "Propagation." New propagators might want to look at the comment policy.

    Please do not enter long URLs into the seedbed. Either mark them up using html hyperlinks or convert them to a "tiny URL." Thank you!

    Seedbed

    The soil is ready for planting:

    `

    FRUIT FEEDS
    PROPAGATION
    Recent comments.

  • The problems with FPTP– and with AV (53)
    • Ed: Toronto is going to AV or something similar to elect its mayor: http://www.calg arygrit.ca/?p=5 223 As you might expect, this happened due to...
  • Irish Constitutional Convention: Keep STV (14)
    • Alan: I wonder to what extent the European constitutions that mandate resignation originally adopted the practice from Westminster and then did not...
    • DC: @JD, there is actually a provision where Deputies or Senators who resign to become Ministers (replaced by their substitute, or “suppl...
    • DC: While they use STV in Ireland for European Parliament elections, the candidates run with a list of “replacem ent candidates̶ 1;, so...
    • JD: If I’m not much mistaken, Ed, French ministers appoint a substitute deputy when they serve in the cabinet, but if they are sacked and/or...
    • Ed: How do the French handle this? I thought that the constitution of the Fifth Republic banned ministers from serving in Parliament (or just the...
    • Mark Roth: JD, You are correct in what you say about current laws about Irish by-elections. However, if ministers were to resign their seats with...
    • JD: Mark: I don’t see how asking ministers to resign from the Dail, “would be done as in the Netherlands and suggested for Israel....
    • Doug Bailie: @2, the requirement to resign and run in a by-election was still in place in Canada at the federal level in the 1920s. The practice...
    • Alan: The New York city council briefly included a communist member.
    • Mark Roth: @ 4, I believe that at least one city in the U.S. that used STV, possibly NYC, abandoned it after someone pointed out that a Communist...
  • First Bundestag member of African origin? (11)
    • JD: Elections for party leader are also sometimes somewhat strangely known as ‘lijsttre kker referendum̵ 7; in the NetherlandsR 30;
  • Labour+Greens or +NZF? (8)
    • Alan: In STV districts as small as Ed proposes I really cannot see a usability problem. The informal votes in the ACT (M=5-7) and Tasmania (M=5)...
    • Ed: I’ve been trying to come up with a system that could be called “STV for stupid people” and it would probably involve...
  • CROSS-POLLINATION

    FRUITS

    morn_blms_corralito.jpg

    The Fruit Blog (Fruit & fruit breeding)
    Daley's Fruit Tree Blog
    Orchards Forever
    The Orchard Keeper
    The Ethicurean
    The Jew and the Carrot
    Small farms ("real people & real food")
    Life begins at 30 (Farmers markets, etc.)
    Banana
    Festival of Trees
    Rare Fruit News Online
    Cloudforest Cafe


    VOTES

    bulgaria_protest copy

    Comparative democracy

    Psephos (Adam Carr's data archive)
    Electoral Panorama
    World Elections
    African Elections Database
    M. Herrera's Electoral Calendar
    Electoral Geography (Data archive)
    Michael Gallagher's data archive
    Election Finance (Blog, data archive)
    IFES
    Election Law (Rick Hasen)
    VoteLaw (Edward Still)
    Ballot Access News

    Electoral and Political Reform

    The FairVote Blog (US)
    Make my vote count (UK)
    Wilf Day (Canada)
    democraticSPACE (Canada)
    Citizens Assembly Blog (dormant)


    POLITOLOGY

    Blogs of political analysis

    PoliBlog
    Arms and Influence (dormant)
    Outside the Beltway
    Political Science Weblog (abstracts)
    Ideological Cartography (Adam Bonica)
    Frontloading HQ (Josh Putnam)
    FiveThirtyEight
    Vote View (Keith Poole)
    The Monkey Cage
    A Plain Blog About Politics (Jonathan Bernstein)
    Political Arithmetik (dormant)
    Polls & Votes
    Pollster.com
    Polysigh
    Reflective Pundit
    Rustbelt Intellectual
    Simon Jackman
    The semi-presidential one
    Josep Colomer
    Chapel Hill Treehouse (dormant)
    Political Behavior (dormant)
    Dart-Throwing Chimp
    Countries at the Crossroads (Freedom House blog)
    Jacob T. Levy

    REGIONAL ANALYSIS

    Canada

    The Mace
    ThreeHundredEight
    Crawl Across the Ocean
    Idealistic Pragmatist

    Europe

    Centre for European Politics
    Dr Sean's Diary
    A Fistful of Euros
    Political Reform (Ireland)
    UK Polling Report
    British Politics & Policy (LSE)

    Latin America

    Bloggings by boz
    Two Weeks Notice

    S.W. Asia & E. Mediterranean & N. Africa

    Informed Comment Global Affairs
    Lisa Goldman
    Michael J. Totten
    Yaacov Lozowick
    Marc Lynch (@FP)
    Ahwa Talk

    Africa

    La Constitution en Afrique

    E. Asia

    Frozen Garlic (Taiwan elections)

    New Zealand

    Kiwiblog
    No Right Turn

    OTHER SOCIAL SCIENCE BLOGS

    Crooked Timber
    Statistical Modeling
    Social Science Statistics
    Cold Spring Shops
    Marginal Revolution
    Brad DeLong
    Greg Mankiw

    SUN & MOON

    CURRENT MOON

    NEWS

    ABC

    BBC

    CBC

    Democracy Now!

    Deutsche Welle

    El Tiempo

    Guardian

    Haaretz

    Hindustan Times

    The Independent

    Irish Times

    NZ Stuff

    RFE/RL

    ORGANIZATIONS

    About/disclaimer

    California Rare Fruit Growers

    Center for Voting and Democracy

    Californians for Electoral Reform

    Society for American Baseball Research

    Link TV

    SCION EXCHANGE

    HARVESTS
    ORCHARD SERVICES

    Powered by WordPress