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Fruits & Votes is the Web-log of Matthew S. Shugart ("MSS"), Professor of Political Science, University of California, Davis.

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  • 08 August 2008

    Planted by MSS
    Planted in: Israel; Party lists; PR

    A new party has been formed by Ephraim Sneh, a former Labor Knesset member (MK). The party will be known as Yisrael Hazaka (“Strong Israel”). Other Labor party members, although not MKs, have joined the party.

    Sneh has resigned his Knesset seat, to be replaced by Druze party activist Shakib Shanan.

    The Haaretz story (linked above) also notes, updating an item of note here previously:

    In addition, the Green Party asked Labor MK Ophir Pines-Paz several months ago to head the party, and Labor officials think he could accept the offer.

    This development is also of interest to me because of Shanan’s entry into parliament:

    Shanan, 45, is an educator who lives in the western Galilee. As No. 20 on the Labor list, he almost got into the Knesset, but an appeal over the election results gave the party 19 seats instead of the 20 it had first appeared to have won, and Shanan did not make it into the chamber.

    He was thus a first loser, a category of politician I have particular (peculiar?) interest in, along with last losers. Generally, we might imagine that parties have reasonably good information about how many seats they might win, give or take a seat or two. Thus the marginal candidates are of special interest in terms of what their nomination (to a given rank on a closed list), but uncertain election, might signal to whatever constituencies they might represent. I previously commented on a similar case with respect to the Shas list after the 2006 election.

    Of course, that Shanan has now made it into parliament is a reminder that some (many?) first losers ultimately do serve, as most list systems replace members who leave early with the next available candidate on the original list. Given that a new election is looking more and more likely some time in 2009, this is rather late in the life of this Knesset, but it’s a seat for a marginal candidate at the last election, and representative of the Druze community.

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    Recent comments.

  • Is MMP in Ireland’s future? (23)
    • Chris: The big drawback with STV is that it becomes increasingly difficult to conduct an election the larger the district magnitude. Larger...
    • Derek: I’ve always wondered what would happen in the U.S. Presidential Primaries if all candidates had to choose their running mate before...
    • Tom Round: MSS @19: I’d semi-agree that party-list legislators are still “elected& #8221; (at least when the lists are published in...
    • Derek: Actually, the proposal I’m considering is a system where all candidates must run for many district seats and the number of seats...
    • MSS: I would completely reject Ed’s notion that members elected on party lists (closed) are “appointe d” instead of elected....
    • MSS: Interesting on attitudes towards STV variants, Tom! As for Hungary, it is not, and never was, MMP. But the system was indeed adopted before...
    • JD: How about the following MMP variant: both constituency and party-list votes are ranked. The constituency contest happens under AV. The...
    • Tom Round: (MSS @9) “To be clear, no specific legal threshold, or any threshold at all, is a defining feature of MMP” True. However,...
    • Mark Roth: @ JD, I stand corrected. @Derek, I believe that someone proposed something similarish for Canada right after the last federal election....
    • Derek: I’ve always thought of a different type of MMP system. The % for the winning party determines the number of seats chosen proportiona...
    • Suaprazzodi: Will Ireland embrace a one vote or two vote MMP system? Will it use FPTP in conjunction with a closed party list corrective element...
    • JD: Mark: If I’m not mistaken, neither Bolivia nor Lesotho (both MMP users) have thresholds.
    • Ed: I had a somewhat similar intellectual journey to Tom Round, in that MMP was beguiling at first until you got into the details. For me the deal...
    • Mark Roth: Just to be argumentative,a nd with no offense meant: 1) As far as I know, every system that uses MMP does have some sort of threshold in...
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