Following up on a comment he made at my earlier post on this topic, Declan has some interesting thoughts on the question. I will simply add to his points–with which I almost entirely agree–that I accept the idea of some conditions on referendum majorities.
For instance, in federal systems, concurrent majorities make sense. An example of a concurrent-majority requirement would be saying a constitutional amendment must be approved by a national majority and also majorities in a majority of states/provinces, or something of that sort.
I also accept the idea of turnout requirements. Stipulating a minimum quorum of voters participating in the question for it to pass makes sense to prevent, say, 50% of a 40% turnout from deciding policy or constitutional questions, as may happen in California on November 8. There is a problem with quorum rules, however, in that it gives opponents who can’t get a 50% ‘no’ vote an incentive to simply boycott, to defeat the measure by denying it a quorum. This has happened in several Italian referenda, and in a recent series of referenda in Colombia, for example. (A fix for this would be to stipulate a majority of a given quorum or a super-majority of whoever does turn out.)
But while I accept these qualifications on referendum approval, I really do not see much point in having referenda to guage the “will of the people” and then mandating that it will be valid only if 60% or two thirds share the same “will.” And, as I have said before, the rule by which the Iraqi constitution was just approved is truly bizarre.
(A concluding note, which answers a specific question asked by Declan: A few years ago in California a statewide initiative passed to lower the requirement to pass local school bonds to a 55% majority of those voting instead of the former two-thirds requirement. The supporters feared going all the way and proposing simple majority, but at least they cut the minority veto potential from one third to 45%. There continue to be 2/3 requirements on some statewide measures.)



I had questions about the bizzare rule for approval of the Iraqi constitution, but they were drowned out in the shouting from the right about the “success” and the cries from the left of “failure”…
I’m glad I’m not alone in wodering about it.
Seed planted by Jack — 03 November 2005 @ 13:22