THE CORE

Fruits & Votes is the Web-log of Matthew S. Shugart ("MSS"), Professor of Political Science, University of California, Davis.

Perspectives on electoral systems, constitutional design, and policy around the world, based primarily on my research interests.

Also experiences with growing many varieties of fruit (always organic) and other personal interests. Please see the Mission Statement for more. (There is also an explanation of the banner.)

Other "planters" have been invited to contribute. Please check the "Planted by" line to see the author of the post you are reading.

Join the conversation. Comments are always open. Except, that is, when Word Press mysteriously shuts them down, which happens with distressing frequency.

Core principles:

Henry Droop on the "moderate non-partisan section"

Madison on "dangers from abroad" and "the fetters... on liberty"

The Head Orchardist's other sites:

PRESERVED FRUIT
orchard blocks
  • All
  • FRUITS
  • VOTES
  • wide open spaces
  • 04 November 2005

    Planted by MSS
    Planted in: Electing presidents; Politics (general); USA

    Robert Farley looks back to November 2, 2004, prompting me to do the same, however painfully.

    I share almost everything Robert has to say, except:

    I believed then (and still believe now) that John Kerry would have made a great President…

    Probably not. He ran such a vacuous campaign during which he showed poor judgment at many points, he has been an undistinguished senator, he would have been buffeted from left even more than right, and when a man runs for president almost solely on a single act of personal narrative from over 30 years ago, he probably doesn’t have much presidential material to offer. He deserved to lose. But his country deserved him to win.

    Personally, I voted for Kerry and I was more active in his campaign than in any other since I was Garden Grove area petition coordinator for the John Anderson signature drive in 1980. But in 2004, I was voting for the veto, not for the man who would wield it, let alone for his or his party’s platform. I used to loathe divided government, when one party has a majority in congress and the other has the presidency. I still do not like it, for the way it obscures accountability. But divided government looks pretty good right now.

    Robert notes that he lost his sense that the 2004 election would be a “contingent moment” when, among other things,

    it became clear that, regardless of whether he pulled out Ohio, Kerry would be a minority President with a Congress unified against him.

    That’s why it was an election about the veto. I tried to convince many moderate Republicans and wavering independents of that. Don’t worry about Kerry’s programs, because they won’t be enacted. But he can block a wasteful and corrupt congress–a congress so bad that J.C. Watts, a member of the class of ’94 could say:

    Republicans in just 10 years have developed the arrogance it took the Democrats 30 years to develop

    (h/t Poliblogger, who appends the quote with “yup.”)

    I felt then, and still feel, that to oust the White House cabal that had hijacked our national security policy after 9/11 was of transcendental importance. So transcendental that I was willing to break a personal vow not to vote for anyone who had cast a vote in Congress in favor of the abdication of warmaking powers to that cabal.

    OK, so readers might ask, how can you be this strident in denouncing Bush, when you say your intention for this blog is for it not to be partisan?

    I say, this is not partisan. (And, also, I am not being strident. You should hear me in private moments.) Apparently, people are catching on. Bush’s latest approval ratings are below 40%. That’s not just Democrats, greens, socialists, and others far from the Republican’s erstwhile principles who are now saying they disapprove. In fact, as Philip Klinkner notes today, Bush’s slippage in approval in the past year is around 15 percentage points among Republicans. It is also 15 points among independents (which is almost a third of what he had a year ago with that group), with no change among Democrats.

    We are being poorly represented and even more poorly governed, and the problem is far bigger than any one president. In fact, while I think Clinton was competent and non-dangerous, unlike the current Oval Office occupant, I think Clinton was a very bad president before the 1994 election woke him up and a very bad leader of his own party thereafter. It amazes me the extent to which Democrats still rally behind this man (and his wife), when it was the Clintons (and Al “Dialing for Dollars” Gore) who so squandered the opportunity presented by the 1992 election to build a new constituency for a modern center-left (which would have meant co-opting the Perot constituency, rather than ignoring it and defaulting it to the right).

    But, again, the problem is far bigger than any one president. The problems lie in institutions that no longer serve us well, that fail to be representative and accountable. Both parties are a problem, and the institutions that give us only these parties as realistic options are the underlying problem. Maybe some day we will wake up. It is hard to be optimistic, and especially so on a week of reflecting back on the missed opportunities of a year ago to rein in the Republican congress and give the cabal its due.

    Propagation: Seeds & scions (3)


    Fruits and Votes » Blog Archive » The Surveillance Scandal grafted [...] For me, it is making me think seriously about a contribution to some organization that, if pushed, might be capable of bringing about a real accountability moment. (And anyone who knows my feelings about the two-party system knows how much it would take to drive me to do something like that; I’d be much more comfortable with other allies in accountability-seeking, but some things are of transcendental importance.) Block where planted: POLITICS/POLICY [...]
    Fruits and Votes » Blog Archive » The radical middle: Perot, Schwarzenegger, the class of 1994, and looking ahead to 2006 grafted [...] I was drafting a rather lengthy comment in response to a comment left at my post on the 2004 election. But it makes sense to bring it to the front page, because while the comment by “B” is directed at a point I had made about the 1992 presidential election, the general point is relevant to current California politics as well as to next year’s congressional midterm election. [...]

    3 ideas sprouting »

    1. Granted, I was only 10 at the time, but I have a hard time seeing a unified “Perot constituency” that could have been co-opted. You had your usual pox-on-both-their-houses types and others who just didn’t feel inspired by either candidate, probably more for personal reasons than ideological ones (I guess this is why Perot did so well in places like Maine). Then you had the paranoid xenophobic wackos who thought Perot would be the guy who would finally do something about the Mexkins. Is it really any wonder that Clinton couldn’t woo this latter group? They weren’t worth wooing in the first place!

      As for Perot’s other platform planks, Clinton (with much fanfare, I might add) brought the budget back into balance and essentially dismantled welfare. If Perot voters couldn’t warm to Clinton after that, they either weren’t paying much attention or were simply never going to warm to Clinton no matter what he did.

      Seed planted by B — 06 November 2005 @ 01:27

    2. [...] I was drafting a rather lengthy comment in response to a comment left at my post on the 2004 election. But it makes sense to bring it to the front page, because while the comment by “B” is directed at a point I had made about the 1992 presidential election, the general point is relevant to current California politics as well as to next year’s congressional midterm election. [...]

      Scion grafted by Fruits and Votes » Blog Archive » The radical middle: Perot, Schwarzenegger, the class of 1994, and looking ahead to 2006 — 06 November 2005 @ 10:57

    3. [...] For me, it is making me think seriously about a contribution to some organization that, if pushed, might be capable of bringing about a real accountability moment. (And anyone who knows my feelings about the two-party system knows how much it would take to drive me to do something like that; I’d be much more comfortable with other allies in accountability-seeking, but some things are of transcendental importance.) Block where planted: POLITICS/POLICY [...]

      Scion grafted by Fruits and Votes » Blog Archive » The Surveillance Scandal — 19 December 2005 @ 10:20

    RSS feed for comments on this post.

    TrackBacks

    To graft a scion to this planting, please use the following URL:
    http://fruitsandvotes.com/blog/wp-trackback.php?p=245
    (Non-MT bloggers click here to send pings.)

    Grafted scions that are not compatible with this planting's stock will die or be pruned out by the Orchardist.

    About the comment form

    Please note that the name you enter below and the first several words of your comment will appear on the right sidebar of the blog's front page, under "Propagation." New propagators might want to look at the comment policy.

    Please do not enter long URLs into the seedbed. Either mark them up using html hyperlinks or convert them to a "tiny URL." Thank you!

    Seedbed

    The soil is ready for planting:

    `

    FRUIT FEEDS
    PROPAGATION
    Recent comments.

  • Does STV have anything to do with absence of “free votes” in Ireland? (12)
    • Alan: What Tom said, except that I’d add that the major parties in Australia have a habit of subverting their own rules by imposing...
    • Tom Round: JD, because a government body has an electoral roll stating that “These people are registered supporters of the Democratic Party,...
    • JD: Tom, I’m not sure I understand why primaries the secret ballot. Alan, how is that different from a (closed) primary?
    • Alan: I’m not a fan of primaries, for the reasons Tom states. I am a fan of requiring parties to nominate candidates by a ballot of all party...
    • Tom Round: It would indeed be ironic if one reason discouraging parties from allowing free votes was an electoral system that could enable voters...
  • BC election 2013 (8)
    • Chris: The federal Liberal party hate the Conservatives more than they hate the NDP. They think Trudeau fil will get them a majority government,...
    • Ed: Its been explained to me that BC politics seems complicated, but is actually pretty simple: everyone gangs up against the NDP, but the...
    • MSS: I am struck by the degree of malapportionmen t in BC. For instance, the Peace River South winner’s 46.4% was only 3,904 votes, whereas...
    • MSS: The Green Party won the Oak Bay-Gordon Head seat, with 40.1%. It was not close, with incumbent Liberal Ida Chong having only 29.7% and the NDP...
    • MSS: I guess this is why they still have actual elections with actual voters casting actual ballots! How could the pollsters be so wrong?
    • Vasi: Well that was surprising! Once again, the polls in a Canadian election were off, and the incumbents do much better than expected.
    • Tom Round: BC: where a 39% sub-plurality is enough to elect a government for five years (absolute majority of seats, no upper house) but a 57%...
    • JD: Oh, how different (and more interesting) things would have been had STV been approved…
  • Final MMP Review report is out (11)
    • Suaprazzodi: Perhaps they should put the amended version of MMP to a referendum. They should ask questions like do you want the list percentage...
  • CROSS-POLLINATION

    FRUITS

    morn_blms_corralito.jpg

    The Fruit Blog (Fruit & fruit breeding)
    Daley's Fruit Tree Blog
    Orchards Forever
    The Orchard Keeper
    The Ethicurean
    The Jew and the Carrot
    Small farms ("real people & real food")
    Life begins at 30 (Farmers markets, etc.)
    Banana
    Festival of Trees
    Rare Fruit News Online
    Cloudforest Cafe


    VOTES

    bulgaria_protest copy

    Comparative democracy

    Psephos (Adam Carr's data archive)
    Electoral Panorama
    World Elections
    African Elections Database
    M. Herrera's Electoral Calendar
    Electoral Geography (Data archive)
    Michael Gallagher's data archive
    Election Finance (Blog, data archive)
    IFES
    Election Law (Rick Hasen)
    VoteLaw (Edward Still)
    Ballot Access News

    Electoral and Political Reform

    The FairVote Blog (US)
    Make my vote count (UK)
    Wilf Day (Canada)
    democraticSPACE (Canada)
    Citizens Assembly Blog (dormant)


    POLITOLOGY

    Blogs of political analysis

    PoliBlog
    Arms and Influence (dormant)
    Outside the Beltway
    Political Science Weblog (abstracts)
    Ideological Cartography (Adam Bonica)
    Frontloading HQ (Josh Putnam)
    FiveThirtyEight
    Vote View (Keith Poole)
    The Monkey Cage
    A Plain Blog About Politics (Jonathan Bernstein)
    Political Arithmetik (dormant)
    Polls & Votes
    Pollster.com
    Polysigh
    Reflective Pundit
    Rustbelt Intellectual
    Simon Jackman
    The semi-presidential one
    Josep Colomer
    Chapel Hill Treehouse (dormant)
    Political Behavior (dormant)
    Dart-Throwing Chimp
    Countries at the Crossroads (Freedom House blog)
    Jacob T. Levy

    REGIONAL ANALYSIS

    Canada

    The Mace
    ThreeHundredEight
    Crawl Across the Ocean
    Idealistic Pragmatist

    Europe

    Centre for European Politics
    Dr Sean's Diary
    A Fistful of Euros
    Political Reform (Ireland)
    UK Polling Report
    British Politics & Policy (LSE)

    Latin America

    Bloggings by boz
    Two Weeks Notice

    S.W. Asia & E. Mediterranean & N. Africa

    Informed Comment Global Affairs
    Lisa Goldman
    Michael J. Totten
    Yaacov Lozowick
    Marc Lynch (@FP)
    Ahwa Talk

    Africa

    La Constitution en Afrique

    E. Asia

    Frozen Garlic (Taiwan elections)

    New Zealand

    Kiwiblog
    No Right Turn

    OTHER SOCIAL SCIENCE BLOGS

    Crooked Timber
    Statistical Modeling
    Social Science Statistics
    Cold Spring Shops
    Marginal Revolution
    Brad DeLong
    Greg Mankiw

    SUN & MOON

    CURRENT MOON

    NEWS

    ABC

    BBC

    CBC

    Democracy Now!

    Deutsche Welle

    El Tiempo

    Guardian

    Haaretz

    Hindustan Times

    The Independent

    Irish Times

    NZ Stuff

    RFE/RL

    ORGANIZATIONS

    About/disclaimer

    California Rare Fruit Growers

    Center for Voting and Democracy

    Californians for Electoral Reform

    Society for American Baseball Research

    Link TV

    SCION EXCHANGE

    HARVESTS
    ORCHARD SERVICES

    Powered by WordPress