THE CORE

Fruits & Votes is the Web-log of Matthew S. Shugart ("MSS"), Professor of Political Science, University of California, Davis.

Perspectives on electoral systems, constitutional design, and policy around the world, based primarily on my research interests.

Also experiences with growing many varieties of fruit (always organic) and other personal interests. Please see the Mission Statement for more. (There is also an explanation of the banner.)

Other "planters" have been invited to contribute. Please check the "Planted by" line to see the author of the post you are reading.

Join the conversation. Comments are always open. Except, that is, when Word Press mysteriously shuts them down, which happens with distressing frequency.

Core principles:

Henry Droop on the "moderate non-partisan section"

Madison on "dangers from abroad" and "the fetters... on liberty"

The Head Orchardist's other sites:

PRESERVED FRUIT
orchard blocks
  • All
  • FRUITS
  • VOTES
  • wide open spaces
  • 03 June 2009

    Planted by MSS
    Planted in: EU; VOTES

    Does anyone want to talk about the European Parliament elections? They start tomorrow, and quite apart from the body actually being elected, they could have some pretty significant impacts on certain European countries’ governments.

    Propagation: Seeds & scions (13)


    13 ideas sprouting »

    1. “…. on the eve of Thursday’s elections for the European Parliament and 34 local councils in England…”

      Why (only) 34? Surely there’s more than that?

      Seed planted by Tom Round — 04 June 2009 @ 01:20

    2. Once we’ve laid down the law for California we could have a lot of fun with international assemblies. The AU and USAN are planning their own equivalents of the European parliament and given that North America is already fairly closely to economic union there should prolly also be an UNAN parliament.

      Seed planted by Alan — 04 June 2009 @ 02:31

    3. In the EP, there is no lasting predictable majority/opposition-divide. This is its major weakness and its major strength:
      * the weakness is, you cannot transplant explanatory schemes from national (adversarial) politics to EP (consensus) politics; so it is hard for the media to explain in simple words what’s going on; low media coverage is one of the reasons for the low turnout.
      * the strength is, individual MPs (‘MEPs’) can make the difference.

      Seed planted by Bancki — 04 June 2009 @ 04:19

    4. @Tom Round: For whatever reason, the UK has a system with rotating local elections. A short introduction on Wikipedia.

      Sweden: The two big questions seem to be 1. Will the “Pirate Party” make it to the EP, 2. Will the Conservatives or the Social Democrats be the largest party. Turn-out in Sweden will probably be under 40%.

      Denmark: No really big issues in the campaign. The Social Democrats look a bit shaky though and have proposed reintroducing border controls in the last days of the campaign.

      The election is the same day as the referendum on the Act of Succession and there is some excitement here as the act needs the support of 40% of all voters to pass.

      Seed planted by Jacob Christensen — 04 June 2009 @ 06:49

    5. What is being changed in the Act of Succession?

      Seed planted by Alan — 04 June 2009 @ 09:26

    6. I actually looked it up earlier, because I was curious myself. Basically, they will change the rules to say that the next person in line will take the throne, regardless of gender. The current rule in Denmark, under which Queen Margrethe II took the throne, says that a female heir can inherit the throne only if a male heir isn’t there.

      Seed planted by Ren Aguila — 04 June 2009 @ 09:52

    7. Gordon Brown proposed the same thing for the British succession law and deleting the ban on Catholics. That will take request and consent legislation from the parliament of every Commonwealth monarchy before it can be enacted. It would seem, on the other hand, that a Gordon Brown proposal may not have a very long shelf life.

      Australia, uniquely in the rather ramshackle Commonwealth monarchy, can probably amend the succession law unilaterally. There was a brief push by an opposition leader in the 1980s to change the succession to create a local branch of the house of Windsor. There was also a certain amount of quixotic enthusiasm for acquiring the house of Slesvig-Holsten-Sønderborg-Glücksborg when an Australian married the crown prince of Denmark.

      Seed planted by Alan — 04 June 2009 @ 11:29

    8. In Spain, elections will take place on Sunday. According to most of the pre-electoral surveys, the non-governing PP (People’s Party) is going to defeat the incumbent PSOE (Socialist Party) by a small margin of vote (2 or 3 points). Hence, this could be the second time that the PSOE loses an election since Rodriguez-Zapatero became the PM in 2004 (the PP also won the 2007 local elections). The same surveys I have just mentioned tell us that each of the two big parties are going to win above 40 percent of the vote (minor parties are supposed to repeat more or less the same results than 5 years ago).
      The campaign has focused on national issues. A very low turnout rate (40-45%) is also expected due to (among others) the scarce media coverage of the event. The turnout rate, the economic crisis and the erosion of the support of the Socialist Party after 5 years in government are commonly listed as the main factors that could explain the PP’s victory.

      Seed planted by Pedro — 04 June 2009 @ 18:07

    9. Well, that’s one thing Denmark and Australia have in common: you can’t be monarch of either country if you’re an Australian citizen.

      Seed planted by Tom Round — 04 June 2009 @ 18:28

    10. Queen Elizabeth is the queen of each Commonwealth realm independent of the others, and each and every realm has the power to amend the succession law that applies to its monarch. There is of course a preference for uniform rules of succession among the Commonwealth realms, so it’s unlikely that any one realm will go it alone with a new law.

      On an entirely different note, do you suppose that the existence of supra-national PR elections in England makes it more likely that the UK will eventually switch away from FPTP? Should we hope that an (unlikely) future North American parliament would start the US and Canada on the road to PR?

      Seed planted by Vasi — 04 June 2009 @ 20:03

    11. @Vasi It depends on the extent to which and the terms in which the legislative power of the UK parliament was terminated and the transitional provisions made by ‘imperial’ act, the Commonwealth realm’s constitution, and certain other acts. Canada, for instance, entrenches everything to do with the monarchy by constitutional provision. Australia has a much looser arrangement where the monarchy, but none of its details, are entrenched and the Australia Act, a separate instrument from the constitution that was passed in the same form by the federal, state and British parliaments, would seem to vest the federal parliament with power to amend the succession as it applies in Australia.

      The Statute of Westminster and the declarations of a string of Imperial Conferences laid down that the Act of Settlement (Imp) would not be amended except on the request and consent of the Commonwealth realms. The principle was followed in 1936 when the Commonwealth realms were asked to pass legislation confirming the abdication.

      Austraia would certainly consent to equal primogeniture and an end to the Catholic ban. More seriously, the only feasible heir and successor to the house of Windsor is a future president of the republic.

      Seed planted by Alan — 04 June 2009 @ 21:01

    12. Preliminary results for the European Parliament election in the Netherlands are already in – much to the displeasure of EU officials, as they were not supposed to be published until Sunday evening – and the big winner is the right-wing populist Party for Freedom (PVV), which arrived second, just behind the Christian Democrats (CDA), the senior partner in the Dutch coalition government.

      Amsterdam newsdaily De Telegraaf has detailed results in Dutch here.

      Seed planted by Manuel Alvarez-Rivera — 05 June 2009 @ 13:21

    13. Another way of looking at the diversity of the EU:
      21 MEPs from regionalist and minority parties:
      1 N-VA (Flanders, EPP)
      3 DPS (Turkish-speaking Bulgarians, ALDE)
      1 SFP (Swedish-sepaking Finns, ALDE)
      1 SVP (Südtirol, German-speaking Italians, EPP)
      2 SC (Russian-speaking Latvians)
      1 LLRA (Polish-speaking Lithuanians)
      3 UDMR / László T?kés) (Hungarian-speaking Romanians, EPP / Green-EFA)
      2 SMK (Hungarian-speaking Slovaks, EPP)
      1 CiU (Catalonia, ALDE)
      1 EAJ-PNV (Euskadi, ALDE)
      1 ERC (Catalonia, Green-EFA)
      2 SNP (Scotland, Green-EFA)
      1 PC (Wales, Green-EFA)
      1 Sinn Fein (Northern Ireland, EUL-NGL)

      Seed planted by Bancki — 17 June 2009 @ 10:04

    RSS feed for comments on this post.

    TrackBacks

    To graft a scion to this planting, please use the following URL:
    http://fruitsandvotes.com/blog/wp-trackback.php?p=2972
    (Non-MT bloggers click here to send pings.)

    Grafted scions that are not compatible with this planting's stock will die or be pruned out by the Orchardist.

    About the comment form

    Please note that the name you enter below and the first several words of your comment will appear on the right sidebar of the blog's front page, under "Propagation." New propagators might want to look at the comment policy.

    Please do not enter long URLs into the seedbed. Either mark them up using html hyperlinks or convert them to a "tiny URL." Thank you!

    Seedbed

    The soil is ready for planting:

    `

    FRUIT FEEDS
    PROPAGATION
    Recent comments.

  • Is MMP in Ireland’s future? (14)
    • Derek: I’ve always thought of a different type of MMP system. The % for the winning party determines the number of seats chosen proportiona...
    • Suaprazzodi: Will Ireland embrace a one vote or two vote MMP system? Will it use FPTP in conjunction with a closed party list corrective element...
    • JD: Mark: If I’m not mistaken, neither Bolivia nor Lesotho (both MMP users) have thresholds.
    • Ed: I had a somewhat similar intellectual journey to Tom Round, in that MMP was beguiling at first until you got into the details. For me the deal...
    • Mark Roth: Just to be argumentative,a nd with no offense meant: 1) As far as I know, every system that uses MMP does have some sort of threshold in...
    • MSS: To be clear, no specific legal threshold, or any threshold at all, is a defining feature of MMP. Technically, neither are single-seat...
    • Tom Round: I’m not unfamiliar with the attraction of MMP. I felt it myself when I first started studying electoral systems. It retains...
    • Wilf Day: Ireland’s Constitutional Convention is a very interesting model of an electoral reform process. It includes 66 randomly selected...
  • Pakistan general election 2013 (2)
    • MSS: The bandwagoning is taking place now. “PML-N gets majority after 18 Independents join party” (20 May). “43 newly elected...
  • Do UK elections now allow fusion candidacies? (13)
    • Derek: I’d like to see the idea of equal preferences in a country like UK.
    • Tom Round: Chris @9: “but in not having an UKIP opponent to siphon votes from the right.” Good point. However, given voluntary voting...
    • MSS: UKIP did admit during the recent local election campaign that it did not fully vet its candidates, due to (it was claimed) resource...
    • Chris: UKIP’s candidates for Parliament and MEP do indeed seem to need National Executive Committee Approval before being placed on the...
    • Chris: I think the key thing in being a Conservative-UK IP candidate might not be in having both of their emblems, but in not having an UKIP...
  • CROSS-POLLINATION

    FRUITS

    morn_blms_corralito.jpg

    The Fruit Blog (Fruit & fruit breeding)
    Daley's Fruit Tree Blog
    Orchards Forever
    The Orchard Keeper
    The Ethicurean
    The Jew and the Carrot
    Small farms ("real people & real food")
    Life begins at 30 (Farmers markets, etc.)
    Banana
    Festival of Trees
    Rare Fruit News Online
    Cloudforest Cafe


    VOTES

    bulgaria_protest copy

    Comparative democracy

    Psephos (Adam Carr's data archive)
    Electoral Panorama
    World Elections
    African Elections Database
    M. Herrera's Electoral Calendar
    Electoral Geography (Data archive)
    Michael Gallagher's data archive
    Election Finance (Blog, data archive)
    IFES
    Election Law (Rick Hasen)
    VoteLaw (Edward Still)
    Ballot Access News

    Electoral and Political Reform

    The FairVote Blog (US)
    Make my vote count (UK)
    Wilf Day (Canada)
    democraticSPACE (Canada)
    Citizens Assembly Blog (dormant)


    POLITOLOGY

    Blogs of political analysis

    PoliBlog
    Arms and Influence (dormant)
    Outside the Beltway
    Political Science Weblog (abstracts)
    Ideological Cartography (Adam Bonica)
    Frontloading HQ (Josh Putnam)
    FiveThirtyEight
    Vote View (Keith Poole)
    The Monkey Cage
    A Plain Blog About Politics (Jonathan Bernstein)
    Political Arithmetik (dormant)
    Polls & Votes
    Pollster.com
    Polysigh
    Reflective Pundit
    Rustbelt Intellectual
    Simon Jackman
    The semi-presidential one
    Josep Colomer
    Chapel Hill Treehouse (dormant)
    Political Behavior (dormant)
    Dart-Throwing Chimp
    Countries at the Crossroads (Freedom House blog)
    Jacob T. Levy

    REGIONAL ANALYSIS

    Canada

    The Mace
    ThreeHundredEight
    Crawl Across the Ocean
    Idealistic Pragmatist

    Europe

    Centre for European Politics
    Dr Sean's Diary
    A Fistful of Euros
    Political Reform (Ireland)
    UK Polling Report
    British Politics & Policy (LSE)

    Latin America

    Bloggings by boz
    Two Weeks Notice

    S.W. Asia & E. Mediterranean & N. Africa

    Informed Comment Global Affairs
    Lisa Goldman
    Michael J. Totten
    Yaacov Lozowick
    Marc Lynch (@FP)
    Ahwa Talk

    Africa

    La Constitution en Afrique

    E. Asia

    Frozen Garlic (Taiwan elections)

    New Zealand

    Kiwiblog
    No Right Turn

    OTHER SOCIAL SCIENCE BLOGS

    Crooked Timber
    Statistical Modeling
    Social Science Statistics
    Cold Spring Shops
    Marginal Revolution
    Brad DeLong
    Greg Mankiw

    SUN & MOON

    CURRENT MOON

    NEWS

    ABC

    BBC

    CBC

    Democracy Now!

    Deutsche Welle

    El Tiempo

    Guardian

    Haaretz

    Hindustan Times

    The Independent

    Irish Times

    NZ Stuff

    RFE/RL

    ORGANIZATIONS

    About/disclaimer

    California Rare Fruit Growers

    Center for Voting and Democracy

    Californians for Electoral Reform

    Society for American Baseball Research

    Link TV

    SCION EXCHANGE

    HARVESTS
    ORCHARD SERVICES

    Powered by WordPress