Juan Cole points to some aspects of the regional results in Iran that do not make sense–unless there was widespread fraud, that is. (And perhaps the authorities even amended some of their initial fraudulent reports to make them look less ridiculous.)
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15 June 2009
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Planted in: Iran Propagation: Seeds & scions (6) 6 ideas sprouting »RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBacks
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How to detect election fraud using only the official data: see these excellent examples exposing Russia (2008)
and Armenia (1996 & 1998).
Seed planted by Bancki — 16 June 2009 @ 08:00
An excellent academic paper on the theme: Beber, B. and Scacco, A., “Identifying Electoral Fraud: A Novel Test and New Data From Nigeria.”
Seed planted by MSS — 16 June 2009 @ 14:21
Beber and Scacco have applied their analytical framework to the Iranian election in the Washington Post, and a follow up at The Monkey Cage.
Seed planted by MSS — 21 June 2009 @ 17:20
Other analyses:
Ali Ansari, Daniel Berman and Thomas Rintoul, “Preliminary Analysis of the Voting Figures in Iran’s 2009 Presidential Election” (linked at Chatham House).
Walter R. Mebane, Jr., “Note on the presidential election in Iran, June 2009″ [PDF]
Various posts at Fivethirtyeight.
Seed planted by MSS — 21 June 2009 @ 17:30
Josh Tucker has some related questions.
Seed planted by MSS — 25 June 2009 @ 22:55
For another example, from Congo (RDC): check out the official results from the provincie of Katanga, districts of Kabongo, Malemba-Nkulu, Manono.
So disappointing for all those who did work in good faith in the whole chain of the polling process..
Seed planted by Bancki — 22 December 2011 @ 12:00