The Northern Territory of Australia goes to the polls this Saturday. 25 MLAs are to be elected from SMCs by majority preferential voting. There is no second chamber. The numbers in the old parliament were 12 ALP, 12 CLP and 1 independent.
Because the territory is remote and thinly populated there is usually very limited polling. What we have suggests the Henderson labor government may actually be returned to office, which would be a first for Labor governments in some years.
Propagation: Seeds & scions (7)
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It is good that Alan has planted, given that the head orchardist has been distracted (by good things, not bad).
However, some translation from the Australian is in order.
“SMCs by majority preferential voting” , in fructovotean, means “single-seat districts by Alternative Vote”.
(Yes, I know, many Australians use AV and MPV to refer to different things. To the international audience, however, these are variations in AV.)
As you were.
Seed planted by MSS — 30 August 2012 @ 15:06
Labor suffered a catastrophic defeat, not so much in the numbers as in where it lost votes. The news assembly look alike 15 CLP, 9 ALP, 1 Ind. The real problem is that the territory has a very high indigenous population compared with the other states and territories. Traditionally Labor did very well with indigenous electors and elections were decided by Darwin seats where the indigenous vote was much weaker. In this election the indigenous vote sifted massively and Labor suffered a 16-point swing in the indigenous areas.
This was a surprising result and would have very unpleasant ramifications for Labor if the indigenous vote elsewhere shifted in the same way. It also fits very clearly into the leadership narrative that claims the Gillard government’s main electoral skill is alienating traditional Labor electors.
Seed planted by Alan — 30 August 2012 @ 21:51
Club Troppo has an excellent discussion of the election result.
Seed planted by Alan — 30 August 2012 @ 21:54
Pssssst, someone more knowledgeable than me needs to start a Dutch general election thread before 12 September.
Seed planted by Alan — 30 August 2012 @ 22:41
I tend to use majority preferential voting or MPV because it is the term used by the Electoral Council of Australia which comprises the federal, state and territory electoral commissioners. MPV is not quite the Alternative Vote because several MPV jurisdictions insist on the elector expressing more than one preference. There is also a mild element of bloody-mindedness that Australians get to name their own electoral system.
Seed planted by Alan — 31 August 2012 @ 01:06
Alan’s Ken Parrish link can be found here: http://tinyurl.com/8hjzamr.
Seed planted by Tom Round — 31 August 2012 @ 09:16
Alan: If I may, I’d be quite happy to oblige, reporting directly from the Hague.
Seed planted by JD — 31 August 2012 @ 10:56