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Fruits & Votes is the Web-log of Matthew S. Shugart ("MSS"), Professor of Political Science, University of California, Davis.

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  • 30 May 2006

    Planted by MSS
    Planted in: Canada

    The Conservative government of Canada has introduced bills to establish fixed election dates for the House of Commons and reduce terms of new Senators to eight years (currently they serve to age 75).

    The issue of the Senate (though not the term length, per se) has already been the topic of a lively thread here at F&V. As for fixed dates for the lower house, I weighed at the already-lively thread over at We Move to Canada.

    What I do not understand is why Harper is willing to set the next election for October, 2009, when under current rules he would be able to call an election any time if he anticipates that he could get a parliamentary majority. (And, I thought he was behaving as if that was precisely what he intended to do.) An election could still come earlier–even if this bill becomes law–but only if Harper were to lose a confidence vote. And that would happen only if the parties supporting said vote expected that they, and not the Tories, would benefit from an earlier election.

    Also interesting is that while these bills concern “constitutional” matters, they are in fact mere statutes. That is, they do not require provincial consent, and could be changed by a future majority.

    Propagation: Seeds & scions (3)


    3 ideas sprouting »

    1. Hmm, looks like you posted this while I was composing my comment on the same topic at the other thread, so I’ll link it in here.

      I think it’s clear why Harper is willing to prevent himself from calling an election any time he wants: In a minority government such as we have now, the new bill has little effect. If the government loses the support of Parliament, it will lose a confidence (or no-confidence) vote, and an election will be called by the G-G irrespective of this bill.

      On the other hand, if Harper wants an election, he’ll do what any self-respecting minority govt would and arrange to lose a confidence vote. Simply find an issue where he feels he has the support of the populace but not the opposition parties, and declare it a confidence vote. If the bill fails, Harper gets his election and can try to blame the election on the opposition. If it passes, Harper gets to enact his policy–and then can dare the opposition to pass another bill even more distasteful to them the next day.
      It’s like a game of chicken on a governmental scale :-)

      Seed planted by Vasi — 30 May 2006 @ 16:50

    2. Incidentally, the Honourable E Gough Whitlam, the prime minister dismissed in 1975, is a vigourous supporter of fixed term parliaments:

      Although the Opposition in 1975 never rejected my Government’s Appropriation Bills, Malcolm Fraser persuaded half or more of the Coalition senators to stall them. The power of upper houses to reject or stall money bills is no longer part of the Westminster system; the House of Lords lost that power in 1911. In 1933 the Stevens Coalition Government in NSW passed a law which prevented the Legislative Council from delaying annual appropriation bills for more than a month; that act was approved at a referendum in 1934. The Howard Government should sponsor and the Opposition should support a referendum to prevent the Senate ever rejecting or again stalling Appropriation Bills.

      It is appalling that neither the Standing Committee nor the Labor Party considers or even mentions the two-party system and the electoral practice in the United States of America, the oldest, richest and strongest federation in the world. In the USA all elections – Federal, State and municipal, executive, legislative and judicial – have long been held on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November. Elections for the whole US House of Representatives are held in November in even-numbered years. US Senators have six-year terms; they are reelected or replaced at elections on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November in even-numbered years. All governors have four-year terms except in New Hampshire and Vermont, where they have two-year terms; they are reelected or replaced at elections on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November.

      There were extensive reports in Australia on the contest between Michael Bloomberg and Freddy Ferrer, the Republican and Democratic candidates for Mayor of New York on 8 November 2005. It was difficult to find any reports of the two contests for Governors and the host of municipal contests on that day. On 7 November 2006 36 Governors, all members of the US House of Representatives and 33 US Senators will be elected. On 6 November 2007 3 Governors will be elected. On 4 November 2008 the next President, 11 Governors, all members of the US House of Representatives and 33 US Senators will be elected. All State Senates and all the 49 State lower houses – Nebraska has only a Senate – will be elected on one or more of those November dates in 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008. Every contestant knows not only the date of his election but also the statutory date on which he will assume office.

      In Australia both sides of politics at Federal elections blame the State Governments for shortcomings in health, education and transport and at State elections they blame the Federal Government for those shortcomings. In USA each side presents a co-ordinated and co-operative program at simultaneous Federal and State elections. Labor’s Federal Caucus should move to repeal the Federal law which since 1918 has prevented State elections being held on the day of a Federal election or by-election or referendum. No referendum is required. An act of Parliament is sufficient.

      This year the Parliaments of NSW, Victoria, South Australia and Tasmania will celebrate 150 years of responsible government. Parliamentarians of all parties could make no greater contribution to restoring the health and strength of responsible government, in both its constitutional and common usage, than to celebrate 2006 by working towards simultaneous Federal and State elections on fixed dates. It would reduce the cost of elections. It would facilitate policy changes which the electors support. It would transform our parliamentary democracy. It would transform and re-energise our Federation. Not least, it would make impossible a repetition of 11 November 1975.

      Seed planted by Alan — 30 May 2006 @ 23:00

    3. vasi,

      It does restrict Harper’s freedom in the current Parliament a bit. Before, he could call an election whenever he wanted. Now, he has to lose a vote on a matter of confidence. which gives the opposition more options to decide what to fight the election on.

      The proposal on Senate reform is strategically brilliant. Bad idea, but brilliant politics.

      Seed planted by Pithlord — 31 May 2006 @ 09:36

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