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Fruits & Votes is the Web-log of Matthew S. Shugart ("MSS"), Professor of Political Science, University of California, Davis.

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  • 26 October 2006

    Planted by MSS
    Planted in: Playoffs & World Series; The Ballyard

    UPDATE: Well, they got the game in, without any significant rain, though an obviously slick field. The Tigers suddenly find themselves in need of a three-game winning streak.

    Oh, no, I am not forecasting who is going to win the World Series. This postseason has confounded forecasting. I am just wondering when they will be able to play the World Series. With the Cardinals leading the Series, 2-1, and Game 4 having been rained out last night in St. Louis, when might they be able to play again?

    With Game 4 currently scheduled for tonight, let’s look at the forecast (caps theirs):

    MOZ064-270745-
    ST. LOUIS CITY-
    INCLUDING THE CITY OF…ST LOUIS
    1137 AM CDT THU OCT 26 2006

    REST OF TODAY
    CLOUDY WITH AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE.
    HIGH IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
    MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.

    TONIGHT
    OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. LOW AROUND 50.
    LIGHT WIND IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER
    MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.

    FRIDAY
    OCCASIONAL RAIN. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE AROUND 50.
    NORTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CHANCE OF
    RAIN 100 PERCENT.

    FRIDAY NIGHT
    MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN IN
    THE EVENING…THEN PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW AROUND 40.
    NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

    SATURDAY
    NOT AS COOL. PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH AROUND 60. NORTHWEST
    WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

    SATURDAY NIGHT
    PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S.

    Two more games need to be played in St. Louis. Game 6 is scheduled for Saturday in Detroit (unless both remaining games in St. Louis are won by the Cardinals), but it looks like it will be a challenge to get two games in before Saturday.

    Oh, and if the Series ever gets to Detroit, things don’t look so great in the extended:

    Saturday Night: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy and breezy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Sunday: A 30 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41.

    Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.

    A Padres–A’s (or Twins) Series would have been so much easier!

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    Recent comments.

  • Do UK elections now allow fusion candidacies? (12)
    • Tom Round: Chris @9: “but in not having an UKIP opponent to siphon votes from the right.” Good point. However, given voluntary voting...
    • MSS: UKIP did admit during the recent local election campaign that it did not fully vet its candidates, due to (it was claimed) resource...
    • Chris: UKIP’s candidates for Parliament and MEP do indeed seem to need National Executive Committee Approval before being placed on the...
    • Chris: I think the key thing in being a Conservative-UK IP candidate might not be in having both of their emblems, but in not having an UKIP...
    • MSS: Here is the text (see Jaffr’s link): After paragraph (2A) insert— “(2AA)If a candidate who is the subject of an authorisation by...
    • MSS: Let me call attention here to Jaffr. at comment #1, who notes the amendment to the ballot law was passed earlier in 2013. (This comment was...
    • Tom Round: > “would officially be Conservative-Li beral on the ballot” The UK only adopted ballot labels in the early 1970s, and...
  • Is MMP in Ireland’s future? (7)
    • Wilf Day: Ireland’s Constitutional Convention is a very interesting model of an electoral reform process. It includes 66 randomly selected...
    • MSS: Yes, electoral-syste m change would require a constitutional amendment, which is why it is a topic of the Constitutional Convention. The...
    • Alan: I expect the sixth and last senate place to be decided by very small margins in a number of states. Voting below the line will have more than...
    • Tom Round: Sorry, I should clarify: A legal change to an explicit party list system would indeed require a referendum to amend the Constituti...
    • JD: Tom: I think the Irish probably DO like getting a choice among different candidates of the same party. Whether their leaders like offering that...
  • Distortions of the US House: It’s not how the districts are drawn, but that there are (single-seat) districts (30)
    • Ed: This is another article where the writer attempted to draw non-partisan districts, using a set of criteria an independent commission could...
  • Does STV have anything to do with absence of “free votes” in Ireland? (16)
    • MSS: I was sort of hoping this thread would be about free votes and STV’s possible role in them, but whatever… Uruguay has primary...
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